Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks

Lumen Field · 11/8 - 4:25 PM EST

The Seahawks are favored, expected to win by about 11.

57°F 20 mph gusts 52% precip at Lumen Field

Real chance of rain affecting the game and windy enough to matter for kicking and passing; Seahawks rate as one of the biggest mismatches on today's slate.

Arizona Cardinals

Record: 3-5 · away

10/100

Team Strength Score

16.2%Long Shot · chance to win

Vegas thinks: 21.8% (+340)

Betting-value note (separate from our actual pick above): the markets may be underpricing the Seahawks compared to what our model thinks.

Our predicted final margin

Seahawks by ~11.4

Vegas line: SEA -8.5

We project a total of ~47.4

Vegas total: 39.5 · we lean OVER

Sportsbook lines, for comparison only — not betting advice.

Home team's odds, a few different ways

Us83.8%

ESPN66.5%

Vegas78.2%

Seattle Seahawks

Record: 4-4 · home

96/100

Team Strength Score

83.8%Strong Favorite · chance to win

Vegas thinks: 78.2% (-440)

How each team's form has trended (last 20 games)

Going up means the team's been playing better than expected lately; going down means worse.

ARI

SEA

Players to know

Season stats for each team's top performers, plus anyone banged up — useful if you've got these guys in a lineup.

ARI

Passing YardsGardner Minshew II17/23, 188 YDS, 3 TD
Rushing YardsTyler Allgeier72 CAR, 323 YDS, 2 TD
Receiving YardsTrey McBride66 REC, 544 YDS, 5 TD
SacksBudda Baker3.5
TacklesJack Gibbens60

Isaiah Adams Questionable

Jon Gaines II Out

Jayden Williams Out

Walter Nolen III Questionable

Max Melton Questionable

SEA

Passing YardsSam Darnold127/211, 1,478 YDS, 10 TD, 9 INT
Rushing YardsEmanuel Wilson111 CAR, 403 YDS, 3 TD
Receiving YardsJaxon Smith-Njigba64 REC, 985 YDS, 9 TD
SacksLeonard Williams3
TacklesErnest Jones IV81

Charles Cross Out

Brandon Pili Out

Uchenna Nwosu Out

Leonard Williams Out

Quenton Nelson Out

Player Props

Real sportsbook lines, ranked by how low tonight's number looks against each player's normal season average.

How to read this

The number after "o" is the target (e.g. "o0.5" means more than 0.5). When shown, the number in parentheses is the payout odds (negative means the book expects it to happen more often than not), and "opened" is where the line started before it moved. Players are ranked within each stat by comparing their normal season average to tonight's number — the bigger the gap, the more that number looks low for what they usually do. Not a prediction for tonight specifically (no adjustment for who's pitching, weather, or a hot streak, though home run and total bases numbers are scaled for tonight's ballpark), just a "does this look low" check. Open "Why this number" on any player for detail. Players with no average shown couldn't be confidently matched to season stats. Different lines can come from different sportsbooks, so each card names its source.

Pass Yds

via DraftKings

Drew Lock o203.5 opened 214.5
Gardner Minshew II o196.5 opened 200.5

Rush Yds

via DraftKings

Tyler Allgeier o49.5 opened 47.5 avg 40.38 (-9.12)
Jadarian Price o58.5 opened 45.5 avg 37.0 (-21.5)
Drew Lock o7.5 opened 5.5
Gardner Minshew II o5.5 opened 6.5

Reception Yds

via DraftKings

Jaxon Smith-Njigba o93.5 opened 100.5 avg 123.12 (+29.62)
Michael Wilson o49.5 opened 48.5 avg 60.75 (+11.25)
Trey McBride o61.5 opened 60.5 avg 68.0 (+6.5)
Elijah Higgins o13.5 opened 17.5 avg 18.88 (+5.38)
Cooper Kupp o24.5 opened 26.5 avg 25.75 (+1.25)
AJ Barner o25.5 opened 24.5 avg 25.38 (-0.12)
Tyler Allgeier o16.5 opened 17.5 avg 16.0 (-0.5)
Jadarian Price o10.5 opened 8.5 avg 7.25 (-3.25)

Receptions

via DraftKings

Trey McBride o6.5 opened 7.5 avg 8.25 (+1.75)
Michael Wilson o4.5 avg 5.62 (+1.12)
Jaxon Smith-Njigba o7.5 avg 8.0 (+0.5)
Elijah Higgins o1.5 opened 2.5 avg 2.0 (+0.5)
Tyler Allgeier o2.5 opened 3.5 avg 2.62 (+0.12)
AJ Barner o2.5 avg 2.62 (+0.12)
Jadarian Price o1.5 avg 1.5 (0.0)
Cooper Kupp o2.5 avg 2.38 (-0.12)