Utah Jazz at Minnesota Timberwolves
Timberwolves rate as one of the biggest mismatches on today's slate.
VS
Betting-value note (separate from our actual pick above): the markets may be underpricing the Timberwolves compared to what our model thinks.
Timberwolves by ~15.0
Us91.8%
ESPN85.8%
Vegas82.3%
Players to know
UTAH
- PointsKeyonte George21.3
- AssistsKeyonte George6.2
- ReboundsAce Bailey7.0
Lauri Markkanen Day-To-Day
Jusuf Nurkic Out
Jaren Jackson Jr. Out
MIN
- PointsLaMelo Ball17.7
- AssistsLaMelo Ball6.1
- ReboundsRudy Gobert11.8
Joan Beringer Day-To-Day
Anthony Edwards Out
Donte DiVincenzo Out
Player Props
How to read this
Where tonight's numbers look lowest for what these players usually do
1
Jaden McDaniels
Assists
Pick: OVER 2.5 · usually gets 3.7 · +1.2 above tonight's number · cleared it in 9 of the last 10
2
Terrence Shannon Jr.
Rebounds
Pick: OVER 2.5 · usually gets 3.6 · +1.1 above tonight's number · cleared it in 6 of the last 7
3
Lauri Markkanen
Threes
Pick: OVER 2.5 · usually gets 3.6 · +1.1 above tonight's number · cleared it in 5 of the last 8
Points
-
Jaden McDaniels
o17.5
avg 18.56 (+1.06)
Why this number
Tonight's adjustments, starting from a 17.1 season averageOpponent defense +8.6%Adjusted for tonight18.56Defense they're facingOpponent gives up 125.2 pts/gameDefensive rank 30 of 30Their season — 10 games, 10 startsMinutes33.9Points17.1Rebounds6.2Assists3.7Field goal51.1%Three-point30.4%Free throw76.5%Turnovers1.8 -
Terrence Shannon Jr.
o12.5
avg 13.03 (+0.53)
Why this number
Tonight's adjustments, starting from a 12.0 season averageOpponent defense +8.6%Adjusted for tonight13.03Defense they're facingOpponent gives up 125.2 pts/gameDefensive rank 30 of 30Their season — 7 games, 0 startsMinutes22.0Points12.0Rebounds3.6Assists2.6Field goal42.4%Three-point39.4%Free throw72.4%Turnovers1.4 -
Ayo Dosunmu
o18.5
avg 18.78 (+0.28)
Why this number
Tonight's adjustments, starting from a 17.3 season averageOpponent defense +8.6%Adjusted for tonight18.78Defense they're facingOpponent gives up 125.2 pts/gameDefensive rank 30 of 30Their season — 10 games, 6 startsMinutes31.5Points17.3Rebounds5.0Assists4.3Field goal51.9%Three-point42.5%Free throw85.7%Turnovers2.0 -
Jonathan Kuminga
o14.5
avg 14.22 (-0.28)
Why this number
Tonight's adjustments, starting from a 13.1 season averageOpponent defense +8.6%Adjusted for tonight14.22Defense they're facingOpponent gives up 125.2 pts/gameDefensive rank 30 of 30Their season — 10 games, 10 startsMinutes31.2Points13.1Rebounds5.9Assists3.0Field goal43.8%Three-point42.6%Free throw52.8%Turnovers0.9 -
Keyonte George
o21.5
avg 21.03 (-0.47)
Why this number
Tonight's adjustments, starting from a 21.3 season averageOpponent defense -1.3%Adjusted for tonight21.03Defense they're facingOpponent gives up 113.9 pts/gameDefensive rank 11 of 30Their season — 9 games, 9 startsMinutes32.3Points21.3Rebounds4.2Assists6.2Field goal45.5%Three-point32.1%Free throw77.2%Turnovers3.9 -
Darryn Peterson
o14.5
avg 13.43 (-1.07)
Why this number
Tonight's adjustments, starting from a 13.6 season averageOpponent defense -1.3%Adjusted for tonight13.43Defense they're facingOpponent gives up 113.9 pts/gameDefensive rank 11 of 30Their season — 9 games, 9 startsMinutes30.2Points13.6Rebounds3.8Assists3.9Field goal36.9%Three-point34.1%Free throw89.3%Turnovers1.3 -
Jaylen Clark
o6.5
avg 5.32 (-1.18)
Why this number
Tonight's adjustments, starting from a 4.9 season averageOpponent defense +8.6%Adjusted for tonight5.32Defense they're facingOpponent gives up 125.2 pts/gameDefensive rank 30 of 30Their season — 9 games, 0 startsMinutes13.6Points4.9Rebounds1.9Assists0.8Field goal42.9%Three-point40.0%Free throw54.5%Turnovers0.6 -
Jaxson Hayes
o8.5
avg 7.31 (-1.19)
Why this number
Tonight's adjustments, starting from a 7.4 season averageOpponent defense -1.3%Adjusted for tonight7.31Defense they're facingOpponent gives up 113.9 pts/gameDefensive rank 11 of 30Their season — 8 games, 6 startsMinutes25.0Points7.4Rebounds6.4Assists2.0Field goal57.5%Three-point0.0%Free throw72.2%Turnovers1.5
Assists
-
Jaden McDaniels
o2.5
avg 3.7 (+1.2)
Why this number
Defense they're facingOpponent gives up 125.2 pts/gameDefensive rank 30 of 30Last 10 games — cleared 2.5 in 9 of them1 @MIA3 @ORL3 TOR4 @CLE4 GS7 LAC3 @SA3 MIL4 @HOU5 @NOAverage over those 103.7Their season — 10 games, 10 startsMinutes33.9Points17.1Rebounds6.2Assists3.7Field goal51.1%Three-point30.4%Free throw76.5%Turnovers1.8 -
Jonathan Kuminga
o2.5
avg 3.0 (+0.5)
Why this number
Defense they're facingOpponent gives up 125.2 pts/gameDefensive rank 30 of 30Their season — 10 games, 10 startsMinutes31.2Points13.1Rebounds5.9Assists3.0Field goal43.8%Three-point42.6%Free throw52.8%Turnovers0.9 -
Lauri Markkanen
o1.5
avg 2.0 (+0.5)
Why this number
Defense they're facingOpponent gives up 113.9 pts/gameDefensive rank 11 of 30Their season — 8 games, 8 startsMinutes30.9Points18.0Rebounds6.8Assists2.0Field goal38.9%Three-point39.7%Free throw84.4%Turnovers1.5 -
Darryn Peterson
o3.5
avg 3.9 (+0.4)
Why this number
Defense they're facingOpponent gives up 113.9 pts/gameDefensive rank 11 of 30Their season — 9 games, 9 startsMinutes30.2Points13.6Rebounds3.8Assists3.9Field goal36.9%Three-point34.1%Free throw89.3%Turnovers1.3 -
Ayo Dosunmu
o4.5
avg 4.3 (-0.2)
Why this number
Defense they're facingOpponent gives up 125.2 pts/gameDefensive rank 30 of 30Their season — 10 games, 6 startsMinutes31.5Points17.3Rebounds5.0Assists4.3Field goal51.9%Three-point42.5%Free throw85.7%Turnovers2.0 -
Keyonte George
o6.5
avg 6.2 (-0.3)
Why this number
Defense they're facingOpponent gives up 113.9 pts/gameDefensive rank 11 of 30Their season — 9 games, 9 startsMinutes32.3Points21.3Rebounds4.2Assists6.2Field goal45.5%Three-point32.1%Free throw77.2%Turnovers3.9 -
LaMelo Ball
o7.5
avg 6.1 (-1.4)
Why this number
Defense they're facingOpponent gives up 125.2 pts/gameDefensive rank 30 of 30Their season — 10 games, 10 startsMinutes27.5Points17.7Rebounds3.3Assists6.1Field goal44.1%Three-point38.4%Free throw80.0%Turnovers3.9
Rebounds
-
Terrence Shannon Jr.
o2.5
avg 3.6 (+1.1)
Why this number
Defense they're facingOpponent gives up 125.2 pts/gameDefensive rank 30 of 30Last 7 games — cleared 2.5 in 6 of them1 @MIA4 @ORL4 TOR4 @CLE6 GS3 LAC3 @SAAverage over those 73.6Their season — 7 games, 0 startsMinutes22.0Points12.0Rebounds3.6Assists2.6Field goal42.4%Three-point39.4%Free throw72.4%Turnovers1.4 -
Jaden McDaniels
o5.5
avg 6.2 (+0.7)
Why this number
Defense they're facingOpponent gives up 125.2 pts/gameDefensive rank 30 of 30Their season — 10 games, 10 startsMinutes33.9Points17.1Rebounds6.2Assists3.7Field goal51.1%Three-point30.4%Free throw76.5%Turnovers1.8 -
Ace Bailey
o6.5
avg 7.0 (+0.5)
Why this number
Defense they're facingOpponent gives up 113.9 pts/gameDefensive rank 11 of 30Their season — 9 games, 8 startsMinutes30.4Points12.4Rebounds7.0Assists1.8Field goal46.2%Three-point22.4%Free throw71.4%Turnovers1.9 -
Ayo Dosunmu
o4.5
avg 5.0 (+0.5)
Why this number
Defense they're facingOpponent gives up 125.2 pts/gameDefensive rank 30 of 30Their season — 10 games, 6 startsMinutes31.5Points17.3Rebounds5.0Assists4.3Field goal51.9%Three-point42.5%Free throw85.7%Turnovers2.0 -
Jonathan Kuminga
o5.5
avg 5.9 (+0.4)
Why this number
Defense they're facingOpponent gives up 125.2 pts/gameDefensive rank 30 of 30Their season — 10 games, 10 startsMinutes31.2Points13.1Rebounds5.9Assists3.0Field goal43.8%Three-point42.6%Free throw52.8%Turnovers0.9 -
Rudy Gobert
o11.5
avg 11.8 (+0.3)
Why this number
Defense they're facingOpponent gives up 125.2 pts/gameDefensive rank 30 of 30Their season — 9 games, 9 startsMinutes29.8Points7.6Rebounds11.8Assists1.3Field goal46.2%Three-point0.0%Free throw40.8%Turnovers1.0 -
Lauri Markkanen
o6.5
avg 6.8 (+0.3)
Why this number
Defense they're facingOpponent gives up 113.9 pts/gameDefensive rank 11 of 30Their season — 8 games, 8 startsMinutes30.9Points18.0Rebounds6.8Assists2.0Field goal38.9%Three-point39.7%Free throw84.4%Turnovers1.5 -
Jaxson Hayes
o6.5
avg 6.4 (-0.1)
Why this number
Defense they're facingOpponent gives up 113.9 pts/gameDefensive rank 11 of 30Their season — 8 games, 6 startsMinutes25.0Points7.4Rebounds6.4Assists2.0Field goal57.5%Three-point0.0%Free throw72.2%Turnovers1.5
Threes
-
Lauri Markkanen
o2.5
avg 3.6 (+1.1)
Why this number
Defense they're facingOpponent gives up 113.9 pts/gameDefensive rank 11 of 30Last 8 games — cleared 2.5 in 5 of them1 @MEM4 NO5 LAL0 MEM2 POR4 @SA5 @NO8 @DALAverage over those 83.6Their season — 8 games, 8 startsMinutes30.9Points18.0Rebounds6.8Assists2.0Field goal38.9%Three-point39.7%Free throw84.4%Turnovers1.5 -
Jonathan Kuminga
o1.5
avg 2.0 (+0.5)
Why this number
Defense they're facingOpponent gives up 125.2 pts/gameDefensive rank 30 of 30Their season — 10 games, 10 startsMinutes31.2Points13.1Rebounds5.9Assists3.0Field goal43.8%Three-point42.6%Free throw52.8%Turnovers0.9 -
Terrence Shannon Jr.
o1.5
avg 1.9 (+0.4)
Why this number
Defense they're facingOpponent gives up 125.2 pts/gameDefensive rank 30 of 30Their season — 7 games, 0 startsMinutes22.0Points12.0Rebounds3.6Assists2.6Field goal42.4%Three-point39.4%Free throw72.4%Turnovers1.4 -
Ayo Dosunmu
o1.5
avg 1.7 (+0.2)
Why this number
Defense they're facingOpponent gives up 125.2 pts/gameDefensive rank 30 of 30Their season — 10 games, 6 startsMinutes31.5Points17.3Rebounds5.0Assists4.3Field goal51.9%Three-point42.5%Free throw85.7%Turnovers2.0 -
Darryn Peterson
o1.5
avg 1.7 (+0.2)
Why this number
Defense they're facingOpponent gives up 113.9 pts/gameDefensive rank 11 of 30Their season — 9 games, 9 startsMinutes30.2Points13.6Rebounds3.8Assists3.9Field goal36.9%Three-point34.1%Free throw89.3%Turnovers1.3 -
Jaden McDaniels
o1.5
avg 1.4 (-0.1)
Why this number
Defense they're facingOpponent gives up 125.2 pts/gameDefensive rank 30 of 30Their season — 10 games, 10 startsMinutes33.9Points17.1Rebounds6.2Assists3.7Field goal51.1%Three-point30.4%Free throw76.5%Turnovers1.8 -
LaMelo Ball
o3.5
avg 3.3 (-0.2)
Why this number
Defense they're facingOpponent gives up 125.2 pts/gameDefensive rank 30 of 30Their season — 10 games, 10 startsMinutes27.5Points17.7Rebounds3.3Assists6.1Field goal44.1%Three-point38.4%Free throw80.0%Turnovers3.9 -
Ace Bailey
o1.5
avg 1.2 (-0.3)
Why this number
Defense they're facingOpponent gives up 113.9 pts/gameDefensive rank 11 of 30Their season — 9 games, 8 startsMinutes30.4Points12.4Rebounds7.0Assists1.8Field goal46.2%Three-point22.4%Free throw71.4%Turnovers1.9